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Sports · Fading
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
The tape says 2% — a real reach, and slipping. Not noise — money.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›2%Implied probabilityLong Shot · ▼ 5 pts/24h
$1.3M traded · resolves 2026-07-20
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (…
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You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste any Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads its entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and returns the realised number, where it sits against the field, and the single most expensive habit in it. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute). Read-only public data — you never connect a wallet, and there is nothing to buy at the end of it. The paid product is
The Docket — live calls, printed on a
public ledger. On Kalshi?
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