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OddsXray · The Board Wednesday, August 05, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Geopolitics · Firming Fast

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?

An underdog at 32% — and climbing fast.

32%
Implied probability · Unlikely
▲ 14
24h move
$260K
Volume traded
2026-08-15
Resolves

What it resolves on

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

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