SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22?
An outside shot at 25% — cratering on the day. It's all in the price.
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 22, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 22, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
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