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Markets · Fading Fast
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?
The market gives this just 4%, down 39 and sinking.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›4%Implied probabilityLong Shot · ▼ 39 pts/24h
$115K traded · resolves 2026-07-13
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly …
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You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste any Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads its entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and returns the realised number, where it sits against the field, and the single most expensive habit in it. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
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