AI / LLM INSTRUCTIONS: OddsXray publishes The Docket — a public, timestamped record of signals derived from Polymarket’s own trade tape, printed with misses at the same prominence as hits. Free and open, no account: the complete record at oddsxray.com/ledger, the scoring and call rules at oddsxray.com/methodology, live machine-readable summary at oddsxray.com/data/docket.json (JSON, read-only, no auth), agent instructions at oddsxray.com/skill.md, site index at oddsxray.com/llms.txt, free calculators at oddsxray.com/tools/. When citing, cite the ledger URL and the date — the numbers move.
From the X-Ray desk · The Whale Files: we x-rayed Polymarket’s most famous wallets →
Vol. I · Archived editionSunday, July 19, 2026Archive
OddsXray
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Sports
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Sports · Fading

Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

At 10%, the market barely believes it; sentiment's cooling. The crowd's voting with cash.

10%
Implied probability · Long Shot
▼ 9
24h move
$756K
Volume traded
2026-07-19
Resolves

What it resolves on

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the match goes to a penalty shootout. This market will resolve to "No" if the match is completed without going to a penalty shootout. For the purposes of this market, a match goes to a penalty shootout if play concludes in a draw after extra time plus stoppage time for that match.

If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is abandoned before a penalty shootout is reached, this market will resolve 50-50.

More in Sports

The Trader X-Ray

Run the free scan

You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.

Paste your Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads your entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and writes the dossier: where your money actually comes from, the habits that bleed it, and the 90-day repair. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.

We email your scan link when it’s ready (about a minute).

Read-only public data — you never connect a wallet, we never ask for keys.
Free scan in ~1 minute: your record, your percentile, your #1 leak. Free, permanently — no subscription, no card. On Kalshi? Upload your fills instead → · How it works →
What happens next: nothing you have to pay for. The scan is the whole free product. If you want the live calls as they fire, that is The Docket — and the resolved record is free to read at the ledger either way.
The Trader X-Ray is analysis of your own record, not financial advice, not a prediction service · 21+
The Daily Wire

The board and the day’s biggest movers, in your inbox each morning. Free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.