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Markets · Fading Fast
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?
A long way from likely — 10%; conviction's evaporating. Worth keeping an eye on.
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded.
Today’s live board ›10%Implied probabilityLong Shot · ▼ 46 pts/24h
$195K traded · resolves 2026-07-02
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, July 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, July 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified clos…
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