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Vol. I · Archived editionWednesday, July 15, 2026Archive
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Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Firming Fast

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 15?

Priced as a near-certainty — 97% — and ripping higher, up 43 on the day.

97%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 43
24h move
$187K
Volume traded
2026-07-15
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, July 15, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, July 15, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

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