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OddsXray · The Board Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Geopolitics · Flat

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?

A bet the room mostly waves off — 3%, steady as she goes.

3%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$61K
Volume traded
2026-08-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.

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