Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
The market leans against it — 27% — holding its ground. Sharps are watching.
What it resolves on
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S.
or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
More in Geopolitics
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- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?56%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?3%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 3024%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?57%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?90%
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?2%
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