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From the X-Ray desk · The Whale Files: we x-rayed Polymarket’s most famous wallets →
Vol. I · Archived editionSaturday, July 18, 2026Archive
OddsXray
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Crypto
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Crypto · Firming Fast

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?

The smart money treats it as done — 98% — and climbing fast.

98%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 43
24h move
$188K
Volume traded
2026-07-18
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

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