In the Moment
How it feels
You believe you are right on substance, so the deadline feels secondary.
Slow down: Write the deadline, timezone, and required form of evidence before deciding.
Warning Signs
What to watch for
- The market depends on a date.
- The event can occur after the deadline.
- Unofficial evidence exists before official confirmation.
- Timezones or source publication matter.
Where It Appears
Common territory
Announcement markets, election certification, reports, lawsuits, policy decisions, and monthly/quarterly deadlines.
Historical example: Red Mirage 2020
Clinic Connection
Related Contract Clinic step
Resolution date or rule
Use this trap as a diagnostic layer while filling the worksheet. The trap tells you which part of the market deserves slower inspection.
Open Contract ClinicDefensive Rule
Copy this rule
Every deadline trade needs a written date, timezone, evidence standard, and late-arrival rule before entry.
No-Play Trigger
When to pass
If you know the event may happen but cannot define whether it must be reported or confirmed before the deadline, pass.
Connected Product Loop
This trap links back into prompts, resources, Second Stake, and autopsies so it becomes part of the system instead of a loose definition.