Why autopsies matter
A win can hide a bad process. A loss can punish a good one. Market Autopsy separates outcome from reasoning so users learn the part that survives the scoreboard.
Autopsy Archive
These are study objects, not live recommendations. Open one, then follow it into the connected trap, prompt, resource, and Second Stake module.
Favorite Trap · 2016
Brexit 2016 — The Favorite Was Not Safe
The market leaned toward Remain, but confidence was not certainty. The autopsy studies how a favorite can be socially comfortable and still structurally vulnerable.
Brexit referendum
Open AutopsyConsensus Fragility · 2016
2016 Election — Consensus Was Not Protection
The market and media consensus favored Clinton. The autopsy studies why social agreement can hide structural fragility.
U.S. presidential election
Open AutopsyRed Mirage · 2020
2020 Election — Partial Information Was Not Final Information
Live results and price movement created pressure before the full count mechanism was visible. The autopsy studies the cost of confusing early information with complete information.
U.S. election night pricing
Open AutopsyResolution Clause · 2023
Titan Market — The Headline Was Not the Contract
A tragic headline collided with a narrow market question. The autopsy studies how wording, deadline, and resolver interpretation can dominate the public story.
Titan submersible Polymarket market
Open AutopsyInstitutional Lag · 2024
Biden 2024 — Markets Moved Before Institutions Did
A visible political shock caused markets to reprice before institutions fully admitted the old story had broken.
Biden debate fallout
Open Autopsy