When to use it
When the story is emotionally satisfying, tribal, viral, or hard to let go of.
Warning: A narrative is useful until you start protecting it from evidence.
Related module: Trap Index
How not to use it
Do not paste vague summaries. Do not ask the AI what to bet. Do not accept an answer that ignores exact wording, timing, resolution source, counterarguments, or No-Play discipline. The output is a mirror, not a verdict.
Workflow use
Answer format to request
Narrative-risk audit with evidence/story separation and exit triggers.
Defense
Trap it helps defend against
Narrative Collapse
Contract Clinic link
Related worksheet step
8–10: crowd mistake, research questions, decision note
Historical practice
Related Second Stake module
Biden Debate Collapse
Copy prompt
Paste into ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, or your preferred AI tool. OddsXray gives the workflow; your AI tool does the writing and analysis.
Audit this market for narrative attachment. Public story: [paste] Market wording and price context: [paste] Answer: 1. What story are traders emotionally attached to? 2. What evidence actually supports it? 3. What evidence is being rationalized away? 4. What event would break the story? 5. How would the market likely reprice if the story breaks? 6. What should I refuse to ignore?
Recommended output discipline
After the AI answers, force it into a final structure: exact contract read, main uncertainty, best counterargument, trap label, verification checklist, and whether Wait or No-Play is cleaner than forcing action.
Send this into Contract Clinic
Use this prompt alongside the worksheet so your market read stays attached to exact wording, resolver, timing, edge cases, crowd mistake, and a written decision note.
Open Contract Clinic