When to use it
When social media, news headlines, or market titles are louder than the actual rules.
Warning: The loudest story is often not the market that resolves.
Related module: Contract Clinic
How not to use it
Do not paste vague summaries. Do not ask the AI what to bet. Do not accept an answer that ignores exact wording, timing, resolution source, counterarguments, or No-Play discipline. The output is a mirror, not a verdict.
Workflow use
Answer format to request
Gap analysis with public story, contract story, divergence, and slowdown note.
Defense
Trap it helps defend against
Headline Trap
Contract Clinic link
Related worksheet step
1–2 and 8: title, exact wording, likely crowd mistake
Historical practice
Related Second Stake module
Biden Debate Collapse
Copy prompt
Paste into ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, or your preferred AI tool. OddsXray gives the workflow; your AI tool does the writing and analysis.
Compare the public headline to the actual market contract. Headline/public story: [paste] Market title and wording: [paste] Tell me: 1. What the public story implies 2. What the contract actually resolves on 3. Where the two diverge 4. How a casual trader could overreact 5. Whether emotion is distorting interpretation 6. The one sentence warning label I should remember No trade recommendation. Diagnose the gap.
Recommended output discipline
After the AI answers, force it into a final structure: exact contract read, main uncertainty, best counterargument, trap label, verification checklist, and whether Wait or No-Play is cleaner than forcing action.
Send this into Contract Clinic
Use this prompt alongside the worksheet so your market read stays attached to exact wording, resolver, timing, edge cases, crowd mistake, and a written decision note.
Open Contract Clinic