When to use it
When the market may care whether something happened, was reported, was confirmed, or was formally announced.
Warning: A thing can happen before it counts.
Related module: Contract Clinic
How not to use it
Do not paste vague summaries. Do not ask the AI what to bet. Do not accept an answer that ignores exact wording, timing, resolution source, counterarguments, or No-Play discipline. The output is a mirror, not a verdict.
Workflow use
Answer format to request
Four-way timing split: event, report, confirmation, announcement.
Defense
Trap it helps defend against
Announcement Trap
Contract Clinic link
Related worksheet step
4–6: resolution rule, YES condition, exclusions
Historical practice
Related Second Stake module
Titan Resolution Clause
Copy prompt
Paste into ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, or your preferred AI tool. OddsXray gives the workflow; your AI tool does the writing and analysis.
Clarify whether this market resolves on an event or an announcement. Contract wording: [paste] Known facts: [paste] Separate: 1. The real-world event 2. A media report 3. Official confirmation 4. Formal announcement 5. Which one the contract requires 6. What does not count 7. Where traders are likely to blur the distinction
Recommended output discipline
After the AI answers, force it into a final structure: exact contract read, main uncertainty, best counterargument, trap label, verification checklist, and whether Wait or No-Play is cleaner than forcing action.
Send this into Contract Clinic
Use this prompt alongside the worksheet so your market read stays attached to exact wording, resolver, timing, edge cases, crowd mistake, and a written decision note.
Open Contract Clinic