When to use it
During volatile moves, social pile-ons, consensus markets, and obvious favorites.
Warning: Crowd movement is not automatically crowd wisdom.
Related module: Brexit Remain Trap
How not to use it
Do not paste vague summaries. Do not ask the AI what to bet. Do not accept an answer that ignores exact wording, timing, resolution source, counterarguments, or No-Play discipline. The output is a mirror, not a verdict.
Workflow use
Answer format to request
Crowd-risk memo with herding, panic, comfort, and slowdown sentence.
Defense
Trap it helps defend against
Consensus Trap
Contract Clinic link
Related worksheet step
8: likely crowd mistake
Historical practice
Related Second Stake module
Brexit Remain Trap
Copy prompt
Paste into ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, or your preferred AI tool. OddsXray gives the workflow; your AI tool does the writing and analysis.
Analyze this market for crowd psychology risk. Market: [paste] Current consensus: [paste] Look for: 1. Herding 2. Favorite comfort 3. Panic buying or selling 4. Narrative chasing 5. False certainty 6. The trader most likely to get trapped here 7. The sentence that should slow me down Do not decide the trade. Diagnose crowd behavior.
Recommended output discipline
After the AI answers, force it into a final structure: exact contract read, main uncertainty, best counterargument, trap label, verification checklist, and whether Wait or No-Play is cleaner than forcing action.
Send this into Contract Clinic
Use this prompt alongside the worksheet so your market read stays attached to exact wording, resolver, timing, edge cases, crowd mistake, and a written decision note.
Open Contract Clinic