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Vol. I · Archived editionWednesday, July 22, 2026Archive
OddsXray
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Markets
Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Flat

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Priced as a real reach at 3% — flat on the day.

3%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$3.4M
Volume traded
2026-09-30
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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