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OddsXray · The Board Saturday, August 08, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Markets
Markets · Firming

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?

An underdog at 26%, and ticking higher.

26%
Implied probability · Unlikely
▲ 8
24h move
$84K
Volume traded
2026-08-08
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

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