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OddsXray · The Board Monday, August 17, 2026 · Archived edition
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Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Firming Fast

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?

Heavily favored at 94%; conviction's spiking. The board clocked it.

94%
Implied probability · Near Lock
▲ 76
24h move
$134K
Volume traded
2026-08-17
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

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