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OddsXray · The Board Wednesday, August 05, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Markets
Markets · Firming Fast

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?

The front-runner here — 62%, and firming hard. It's all in the price.

62%
Implied probability · Likely
▲ 13
24h move
$65K
Volume traded
2026-08-05
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

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