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From the X-Ray desk · The Whale Files: we x-rayed Polymarket’s most famous wallets →
OddsXray · The Board Sunday, August 02, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Crypto
Crypto · Firming Fast

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

A solid favorite at 84% — and climbing fast.

84%
Implied probability · Likely
▲ 34
24h move
$79K
Volume traded
2026-08-02
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

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