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OddsXray · The Board Saturday, August 15, 2026 · Archived edition
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
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Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Fading

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Written off by most at 4%; sentiment's cooling. The board clocked it.

4%
Implied probability · Long Shot
▼ 4
24h move
$934K
Volume traded
2026-12-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

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