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OddsXray · The Board Sunday, August 23, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Markets
Markets · Flat

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?

Barely on the radar at 4% — no real move. Not noise — money.

4%
Implied probability · Long Shot
—
24h move
$264K
Volume traded
2027-07-01
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks, this market will resolve to “No.” A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch.

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