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OddsXray · The Board Thursday, August 13, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Markets
Markets · Fading

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

A comfortable lead at 82% — softening, down 4.

82%
Implied probability · Likely
▼ 4
24h move
$677K
Volume traded
2026-12-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page.

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