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OddsXray · The Board Saturday, August 08, 2026 · Archived edition
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Archived edition — this market has closed or left the live board; figures are the last recorded. Today’s live board ›
Markets · Fading

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Written off by most at 6% — softening, down 6. Worth keeping an eye on.

6%
Implied probability · Long Shot
▼ 6
24h move
$766K
Volume traded
2026-12-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

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