Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
The tape says 12% β a real reach, and dropping hard. Sharps are watching.
What it resolves on
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
More in Markets
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last C28%
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner58%
- Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14%
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?4%
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?32%
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?46%
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10,40%
- Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?5%
The Trader X-Ray
You’re not unlucky. You’re leaking.
Paste your Polymarket wallet. The X-Ray reads your entire public record — every fill, exit and resolution — and writes the dossier: where your money actually comes from, the habits that bleed it, and the 90-day repair. The median active wallet has made $9, ever. Know what yours is doing.
We email your scan link when itβs ready (about a minute).
The board and the day’s biggest movers, in your inbox each morning. Free.