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From the X-Ray desk · The Whale Files: we x-rayed Polymarket’s most famous wallets →
OddsXray · The Board Friday, July 31, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Crypto
Crypto · Firming Fast

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?

Odds-on at 74%, surging 24 points in 24 hours. Not noise — money.

74%
Implied probability · Likely
▲ 24
24h move
$73K
Volume traded
2026-08-01
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

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